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13-Oct-2017 13:51

Between 19, emerging market economies experienced major financial crises with both high frequency and severity.

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In this paper, we use the theoretical framework of international banking and the country risk calculus in an effort to study the experience of Greek banks in Southeastern Europe over the past decade.This experience is the product of two factors, that is, value at risk and the probability of a sovereign risk event. Using the capital asset pricing model and implementing a two-step identification process, we detect a diversification effect of this concentration risk. doi: 10.1057/ces.2011.22Keywords: emerging SEE economies, banking exposure, country risk JEL Classifications: G1, G2, H3 INTRODUCTIONBetween 19, emerging market economies all over the world experienced major financial crises with both high frequency and severity.Since then and until the recent bout of financial turbulence initiated in 2008 by the sub-prime crisis in the US, the drop off in the frequency of such crises has been notable.(2) Hence, country risk is high when currency mismatch is high; the real exchange rate is overvalued; and large portfolio capital inflows paired with a weak banking system make it less likely that credit expansion will go towards the most efficient borrowers (Goldstein, 2007).

Analytically, when financial liabilities are mostly denominated in domestic currency, while assets are mainly denominated in foreign currency, depreciation of the local currency will result in balance sheet problems that cause economic growth to decline.

(3) Second, as the gap between assets denominated in foreign currency and liabilities denominated in domestic currency becomes larger, the exchange rate risk increases.



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